Looking at my SNGs
I've been running pretty bad at SNGs lately, so I decided to dig into the hand histories and figure out why I haven't been making any money playing them. Was it bad beats? Was I card dead? Did I play really bad? Just unlucky?
I came to the conclusion that I am card dead. Very card dead. Unbelievably card dead.
I put hands into three groups.
Group 1 hands are: AA - TT, any AK - AJ
Group 2 hands are: 99-88, Any AT & KQ, and any 2 suited broadway cards (KJs - JTs) not listed above
Group 3 hands are: 77-22, and any two broadway cards, suited or unsuited not listed above.
The chance of getting a hand in Group 1 is 5.85%. Getting a hand in group 2 or better is 10.65%. And you will get a hand in group 3 or better 17.0% of the time.
So at the last 11 SNGs (all $15+1 turbos at Stars) I had 1 first place, and the rest were out of the money. A pretty bad streak. This is what I found:
SNG | Place | # Hands | Group 1 | Group 2 | Group 3 | Best Hand |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
a | 4th | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | KJo |
b | 4th | 40 | 1 | 2 | 0 | AA |
c | 1st | 68 | 4 | 2 | 3 | AA |
d | 5th | 47 | 1 | 1 | 2 | AJo |
e | 6th | 39 | 2 | 1 | 1 | KK |
f | 5th | 44 | 0 | 0 | 1 | QTo |
g | 8th | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | AKo |
h | 4th | 46 | 1 | 2 | 2 | JJ |
i | 6th | 46 | 1 | 3 | 4 | TT |
j | 7th | 33 | 1 | 2 | 3 | AQo |
k | 9th | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | AKs |
Total # of hands: 422
Total in Group 1: 14
Total in Group 2: 13
Total in Group 3: 20
% of hands in Group 1: 3.32%
% of hands in Group 2 or better: 6.40%
% of hands in Group 3 or better: 11.14%
I should get group 1 hands 5.85% of the time. I only got them 3.32% of the time. Only 1 hand out of 30, and it should have been 1 hand out of 17. Pretty big difference.
I got AA 3 times (twice in the SNG I won). KK once, QQ zero, JJ once, TT once. Pretty pathetic if you ask me.
So that is what I am blaming my bad run at SNGs on. Hopefully things will turn around soon.
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